Category Archives: Weekly summaries

Each week, a short post that links to the other posts of the week.

Positive Influences

Haitians are — culturally, my wife Fran and I have seen this when we’ve been down in Haiti — education is prized. So when you look at all of these things, people who want to work, people who value their kids, who value education, you know, these are positive influences on our community in Springfield, and any comment about that otherwise, I think, is hurtful and is not helpful to the city of Springfield and the people of Springfield.

Mike DeWine, Republican Governor of Ohio

This week’s featured posts are “Where the race stands” and “Lessons from the Haitian Fright“.

This week everybody was talking about the debate

One featured post discusses where the race stands post-debate. This note is just about the debate itself. [video, transcript]

All week, MAGA has been throwing stuff at the wall to try to explain how their God-Hero got completely outclassed by a Black woman he has claimed is “dumb as a rock“. So far I’ve heard:

  • It didn’t happen. Trump actually won. But apparently that story wasn’t convincing even in MAGA-World, so they also had to come up with explanations for Trump’s defeat.
  • The moderators were against him. It wasn’t fair to fact-check him more just because he lied more frequently and more outrageously than Harris. Moderators should have sat there stone-faced when Trump claimed babies are being executed after birth, immigrants in Ohio are eating dogs and cats, or that Trump was being “sarcastic” when he admitted that he had lost the 2020 election.
  • Kamala must have gotten the questions ahead of time. Obviously there is no way Harris could have anticipated that she would be asked about inflation, abortion, immigration …
  • Kamala’s earring was really an earphone. I suspect this claim is motivated by jealousy. Trump’s handlers wish he had been wearing an earphone, so they could have kept yelling “Forget about crowd sizes! Get back to inflation!”
  • Kamala was using witchcraft. Seriously. Lance Wallnau, the so-called “father of American Dominionism” detected the “occult empowered deception, manipulation, and domination” on Harris’ side, and believes that “something supernatural needs to disrupt this counterfeit momentum”. Clearly we need to throw her in a lake and see if she floats. This theory has one advantage over all the others: It explains why Trump floundered. (How could Harris knowing the questions cause Trump to sound like a raving lunatic?) But if Kamala is secretly the reincarnation of Marie Laveau — I can sort of see a resemblance — it all makes sense. He rambled and told outrageous lies not because he’s old and his brain never did work very well, but because she cast a spell of confusion on him. [BTW: MAGA really should thank me for doing that bit of historical research. If it catches on, we’ll know they read the Sift.]

Trump managed to pull a bunch of that together into this totally sane and rational Truth Social post:

ABC FAKE NEWS has been completely discredited, and is now under investigation. Did they give Comrade Kamala the questions? It was 3 on 1, but they were mentally challenged people, against one person of extraordinary genius. It wasn’t even close, as is now reflected in the polls. I WON THE DEBATE!

About the polls … well, no, they don’t say Trump won the debate. But why would Trump start telling the truth at this late date?


My favorite post-debate meme went something like: “No wonder Trump thinks Harris is a Marxist. She just publicly owned him.”


Trump has taken a lot of well-deserved ridicule for claiming to have only “concepts of a plan” on healthcare. (He’s been using that phrase at least since 2019.) Paul Krugman explains what’s going on here: The “phenomenal” healthcare plan Trump has been vaguely discussing since 2015 provides affordable coverage to all Americans. But there are really only two ways to do this:

  1. The government insures people directly, as in Bernie’s Medicare for All proposal.
  2. The government subsidizes private insurance, as in ObamaCare.

Trump has repeatedly said these options are both “disasters“, so he’s stuck. He can fantasize about having an all-singing all-dancing program that solves everybody’s problems. But there’s no way to flesh out that fantasy, so it never develops beyond a “concept”.

BTW: Trump’s “concepts of a plan” flashed me back to a party scene in “Annie Hall”, where you overhear some random guest saying: “Right now it’s only a notion, but I think I can get money to make it into a concept, and later turn it into an idea.”


The eating-cats-and-dogs thing grew into its own featured post.

and shots fired on Trump’s golf course

We don’t know much yet. Sunday, Secret Service agents clearing the hole ahead of Trump spotted a gun barrel in the bushes. They engaged a man who ran away. Reportedly, shots were fired, but whether any were fired by the man in the bushes or just by the agents is unclear. Trump was unharmed. The man, a White American, is now in custody. He appears to be strongly pro-Ukraine, but it’s not clear whether that was his motive in stalking Trump.

Trump supporters online have been irresponsibly linking this apparent assassination attempt to the previous attempt, and blaming both on a mysterious “them”. Here’s Marjorie Taylor Greene:

They are trying to kill him!!! They will do anything to stop him from winning.

As a firmly anti-Trump liberal, let me say this: I don’t want him killed and I’m glad nothing came of this attempt. I want Trump discredited, not dead. I want to see him defeated in the election, and I want him to get fair trials on his indictments. If he does go to trial again, I will be rooting for him to be convicted and sentenced to jail. But I don’t want him killed. A Trump assassination would probably only unleash something worse on America.

and Laura Loomer

I’ve decided not to touch the rumors that Trump and Loomer are having an affair. Too often, when a woman rises to some form of prominence, hostile people claim she must be using sex somehow. It’s wrong when Trump says it about Harris, and it’s wrong here too.

But I don’t need to lose my PG-13 rating to criticize Loomer, or to criticize Trump for associating with her. Last week, Loomer responded to a Kamala Harris tweet celebrating her Indian grandparents with a blatantly racist post:

If @KamalaHarris wins, the White House will smell like curry & White House speeches will be facilitated via a call center and the American people will only be able to convey their feedback through a customer satisfaction survey at the end of the call that nobody will understand.

That was too racist even for Marjorie Taylor Greene and Lindsey Graham. Always quick to take the high road, Loomer responded to Graham by asking him when he was going to come out of the closet.

The Bulwark’s Sam Stein observed that if Republicans are worried about Trump being influenced by a conspiracy theorist, that ship sailed a long time ago. He provided a long list of Trump-promoted conspiracy theories going back to Vince Foster’s suicide and questioning whether Osama bin Laden had really been killed.

Marcy Wheeler points out that the Loomer problem is the same as the Putin problem: Trump can be manipulated by flattery.

The problem isn’t Laura Loomer. She’s little different than all the other extremists who remain in Trump’s good graces by performing near-perfect sycophancy. The problem is precisely what Tim Walz warned: Trump’s narcissism and his ego make him weak, vulnerable to any person willing to use flattery to win their objectives. Trump’s aides are making the same argument Tim Walz is: that Trump doesn’t have the self-control to protect against extremists making him their ready tool.

and you also might be interested in …

Just in case you had any doubt that Trump takes everything personally, he posted “I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT” to Truth Social Sunday morning. I love the response from never-Trump Republican Rick Wilson:

Invading Moscow in the winter, fighting a land war in Asia, and going up against the Swifties. These are well regarded as key strategic mistakes in history.

And speaking of Taylor, I am struck speechless by Elon Musk’s offer to “give you a child and guard your cats with my life”. Usually when I see some outrageous statement, I can imagine some situation or some state of mind where I might be tempted to say something similar. But I’ve got nothing here. I have no idea what Elon could have been thinking.


In my post about the Haitian Fright, I forgot to mention a Chicago hotdog shop’s attempt to make commercial hay out of the controversy:


Don’t have time to read the Project 2025 manual? Listen to the song instead.


Various people have speculated that Republicans drummed up the Springfield pet-eating story to distract from something else. Here’s one possibility: The Republican candidate running against Sherrod Brown for the Senate has been lying about selling off his business interests, and also about having an MBA.

But I find myself agreeing with David Roberts:

It is getting very difficult to determine which MAGA fiasco is supposed to be a distraction from the other MAGA fiascos.

and let’s close with something visual

Some while ago I did a closing featuring a Dad who photoshopped his kids. It seems he’s still at it. Here we see a demonstration of a basic principle of physics: Actions produce equal and opposite reactions.

Inaction

We did nothing.

Donald J. Trump,
summing up his accomplishments on the issue of gun violence

This week’s featured post is “The Word of the Week: Sanewashing“.

This week everybody was talking about tomorrow night’s debate

I’m not going to say much about this because I’m trying not to think about it. It will happen, I can’t influence the outcome, and by Wednesday morning we’ll know how it went. Kamala Harris is smarter and sharper, but a shameless liar always has a puncher’s chance in these things, especially when moderators refuse to fact-check, as they did in the Trump-Biden debate.

Recent polls have Harris up nationally by 2.8%, according to the 538 polling average. Given the Electoral College’s thumb on the scale, that’s a toss-up. Hillary’s popular-vote margin of 2.1% wasn’t quite enough, but Biden’s 4.5% definitely was. Democrats hold a similar 2.6% edge in congressional generic ballot polls.

The Electoral College shames our country. Twice in this century, it has allowed the candidate who got the second-most votes to claim the presidency. People only support the Electoral College to rationalize the unfair advantage it gives their side. Can you imagine how Trump would scream if he got more votes than his opponent, but still lost the election?

I’ve decided not to do a state-of-the-race post until after the debate. But here’s Ruben Bolling’s account of the campaign so far.

and Russia, Russia, Russia

We all know that “the Big Lie” is Trump’s claim that he really won the 2020 election, and his victory was stolen from him by fraud. But a lie of similar size is his claim that “Russia, Russia, Russia” was a hoax cooked up by his enemies, and that investigations like the Mueller Report “cleared” him of wrongdoing. (This is covered in Chapter 1 of Steve Benen’s new book “Ministry of Truth: Democracy, reality, and the Republicans’ war on the recent past“.)

John Durham’s sham investigation of “the Russia hoax” went on longer than the Mueller investigation, and came up empty when juries quickly dismissed two prosecutions against minor characters in its conspiracy theory. The “crime of the century” Trump advertised was never revealed.

This week we got a reminder that Russia has never stopped trying to promote the American right wing. An indictment released Wednesday charges that the Russian state media company RT funneled $10 million through an American company (obviously Tenet Media, though the indictment does not name the company) to fund right-wing influencers online.

The people who ultimately got the money are all claiming they were duped, and had no idea Russia was funding their work. Author Renée DiResta observes:

Buying authentic influencers is a far better use of funds than creating fake personas, because they bring their own trusting audiences and are actually, you know, real.

The Democratic Mormon X-account Dem Saints notes “The irony of calling Kamala a communist while cashing Russian checks.”

and the Georgia school shooting

Wednesday, a 14-year-old brought an AR-type weapon to Apalachee High School in Winder, Georgia and began shooting, killing four and wounding nine. He has been charged with murder and will be tried as an adult. His father faces manslaughter and other charges for providing the gun “with knowledge [his son] was a threat to himself and others.”

I’m not sure how I feel about either of those prosecuting decisions. No matter what he’s done, a 14-year-old is not an adult. And the father deserves consequences of some sort, but manslaughter seems a bit much. More punishment is not the solution to every problem.

Gun violence (like climate change) is one issue where the difference between the two parties is stark. Kamala Harris responded: “It doesn’t have to be this way.” Meanwhile, J. D. Vance said: “This is a fact of life.” Donald Trump called the shooter “a sick and deranged monster“, as if the important issue for a leader to address is how to assess blame. In the past he has said “We have to get over it, we have to move forward.“, as if school shootings are acts of God with no policy implications.

Another Republican response came from Governor Kemp:

This is not the day to talk about safety or policy. We need thoughts and prayers for the victims, law enforcement, and educators.

For Kemp, it never is the day. Just two years ago, he signed a law that allows Georgians to carry handguns in public without a license or background check.

And here’s Trump, accepting the endorsement of the NRA in May:

In my second term, we will roll back every Biden attack on the Second Amendment.

At an NRA event in February he bragged:

During my four years, nothing happened. And there was great pressure on me, having to do with guns. We did nothing.

This TikTok video is a very raw response from a Mom who says she takes pictures of her kids every day so she will know what they were wearing in case something happens. She contrasts Trump’s attention to imaginary issues like schools changing kids’ genders with his disinterest in actual problems like kids getting shot at school.

Former Missouri high school teacher (and one of my favorite Substack bloggers) Jess Piper describes how disturbing active shooter drills are for teachers, not to mention students.

I also know that kids who are stuck in the hallway during an active shooter event are left in the hallway. Every single police officer who conducted drills told us the same thing: if you have a student begging to get into your classroom, refuse them. They could be the shooter.

During one drill, complete with explosions and smoke in the hallway, someone pounded on her locked classroom door and begged to be let in. She followed instructions and did not open the door. Even though she knew it was a drill, she felt traumatized afterwards. (Fortunately this was a teachers-only drill with no students present.)

Piper lists the common-sense changes the vast majority of voters would like to see: universal background checks, safe storage laws, and red flag laws.

Those proposals run into the same objections gun-violence apologists always raise: They won’t stop every shooter. No solution is perfect, so we should do nothing.

Qasim Rashid rebuts the nine most common NRA myths.

If you’re willing to accept school shootings as a “fact of life” and think government should “do nothing” about them, you know how to vote. If you believe that it doesn’t have to be this way, you also know how to vote.

and the corporate media covering for Trump’s mental decline

That’s the subject of the featured post, introducing the term sanewashing, which has been around for a while, but whose usage has recently exploded.

and Trump’s legal cases

Judge Juan Merchan delayed sentencing Trump for his 34 felony convictions until after the election. Frustrating as this is, Politico’s Ankush Khardori explains the judge’s thinking.


The federal January 6 case is back in Judge Chutkan’s court, which now has to deal with the Supreme Court’s invention of presidential immunity. There are so many issues to sort out that we are still months or maybe even years away from trial, even if Trump doesn’t win the election and order the Justice Department to drop the charges. But between now and election day Chutkan may hold evidentiary hearings or request briefs that could allow Jack Smith to introduce evidence the public hasn’t seen yet.


Trump must think the E. Jean Carroll defamation cases (where juries found him responsible for sexual abuse and defamation, totaling up to nearly $90 million in damages) works in his favor politically, because he purposefully called attention to it Friday.

He didn’t have to show up for the hearing in federal appeals court about his attempt to overturn the initial $5 million verdict, but he did. He also didn’t have to make a 49-minute statement to the press afterward, but he did that too.

The appeals court can’t just substitute its own judgment for the jury’s, because the jury heard witness testimony live rather than reading it in a transcript. So who the jury decided to believe is not reviewable. What the appeal is about is whether the jury should have been allowed to hear one of the witnesses at all, or listen to the infamous Access Hollywood tape, where Trump confessed to doing in general the kind of thing Carroll accused him of specifically.

The witness in question supported Carroll’s case by testifying that Trump had groped her on an airplane, something he continues to deny. In his press statement, Trump did what he so often does, saying that the witness wasn’t attractive enough to assault.

Frankly, I know you’re going to say it’s a terrible thing to say, but it couldn’t have happened, it didn’t happen, and she wouldn’t have been the chosen one. She would not have been the chosen one.

“The chosen one” — as if it’s an honor, and women are lining up hoping that Trump will grope them. All I can say is: “What an asshole.” You can watch the video here; it looks and sounds just as bad as it reads.

Oh, and Trump also lied about Anderson Cooper, as Cooper demonstrated Friday evening.

and you also might be interested in …

The world’s most “liveable” city? Vienna.


I was going to write a summary of the Democrats’ best chance to retain the Senate, but I was going to say exactly what Jay Kuo says: It all comes down to Jon Tester winning in Montana and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell beating Rick Scott in Florida. Doing both probably keeps the 51-49 margin.


The knock on most renewable energy is that it’s unreliable; the sun isn’t always shining and the wind doesn’t always blow. The answer to that problem is battery storage. The Economist reports on the state of grid-scale batteries.

Massachusetts is making a major investment in offshore wind power.

How fast climate change causes sea level to rise depends to a large extent on what is happening under the glaciers of Greenland — and nobody really knows.


It’s September and Republicans control the House, so it must be time to talk about a government shutdown. The issue House Republicans are pushing this time is to require proof of citizenship to register to vote.

That provision may sound reasonable if you don’t think about it too long — after all, we all want American elections to be decided by Americans. But basically it causes a problem without solving a problem.

It causes a problem because lots of legal American voters can’t easily produce proof of citizenship. In general, poor people have little incentive to get a passport, and Americans who have moved around a lot may have lost track of their birth certificates a few hops ago. (Again, there’s a socio-economic factor: If you’ve ever had to leave someplace in a hurry, taking all your important papers with you may not have been a priority.) You can probably go back to the county where you were born and pay a fee to get a new copy, but that’s a big enough hurdle to keep many people from voting — which may be the whole point.

As for the problem this idea is supposed to solve — noncitizens voting — it isn’t really a problem. Noncitizen voting is already illegal, and there is absolutely no evidence that significant numbers of noncitizens are voting (other than in local elections in cities that allow it). U.S. News summarizes:

Almost all available data says that noncitizen voting in federal elections, though not unprecedented, is incredibly rare.

In 2016, North Carolina audited its elections and found that 41 legal immigrants had cast ballots despite not yet being citizens out of 4.8 million votes cast. The state’s election board found that the votes made no difference in any state election.

Georgia’s Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger conducted an audit of the state’s voter rolls in 2022 and found that 1,634 had attempted to register but all were caught and none were actually registered.


God help me, but I agree strongly with Dick Cheney.

In our nation’s 248-year history, there has never been an individual who is a greater threat to our republic than Donald Trump. He tried to steal the last election using lies and violence to keep himself in power after the voters had rejected him. He can never be trusted with power again

I still hold him responsible for the Bush administration’s torture policy and would like to see him tried at The Hague. But he’s right this time, and I appreciate him not including some poison pill in his endorsement. I couldn’t have made the point better.

In recent weeks there has been a steady drumbeat of Republicans (or former Republicans) endorsing Harris: Adam Kinzinger; Liz Cheney; 238 staffers of the Bushes, Mitt Romney, and John McCain; Jimmy McCain; Rupert Murdoch’s son James; and many others.

Other Republicans have not endorsed Harris, but have announced that they won’t vote for Trump: Mike Pence, Pat Toomey, Meghan McCain, Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan.

The way the announcements are dribbling out makes me wonder if someone in the Harris campaign is orchestrating the timing. But apparently it’s not all leading up to George W. Bush, whose office says he won’t endorse anyone this year.


In case you still respect Elon Musk: On September 1, he retweeted (with the comment “Interesting observation.“) a totally wacko theory that only “high-status” or “high-T” men should have input into political decision-making. The justification is that “people who aren’t able to defend themselves physically” process everything through a “safety filter” and aren’t free to ask “Is this true?” The ideal is “Democratic, but a democracy only for those who are free to think.”

Maybe I’m having a low-T day, but I can’t remember ever considering the idea that testosterone might enhance rationality. There’s a reason why we talk about guys who “think with their dicks”. When the ancient Athenian playwright Sophocles got old and felt his libido waning, he compared it to being freed from a harsh master.


The week’s best comeback. The Economist published an article “The hard right takes Germany into uncharted territory“. And Jathan Sadowski replied:

Oh I don’t know, I think that territory is actually very well charted.

The Economist edited, replacing “uncharted” with “dangerous”.

and let’s close with something tasty

Have a few thousand gallons of milk you need to do something with before they go bad? Maybe you too can take a run at the Guinness record for the largest ball of string cheese. The UPI story and the YouTube link disagree about the exact weight. (Was it 2200 pounds or just 1400 pounds? I think the YouTube link just did the kilogram/pound conversion wrong.) But it’s big. Sadly, the story doesn’t say whether anyone will get to eat it.

Cornerstones

It was the labor movement that helped secure so much of what we take for granted today: the 40-hour work week, the minimum wage, family leave, health insurance, Social Security, Medicare, retirement plans. The cornerstones of middle-class security all bear the union label.

Barack Obama

This week’s featured posts are “Can Trump Steal Georgia?” and “A Week in Trump’s Declining Spiral“.

This week everybody was talking about Trump’s downward spiral

As I explained in the Teaser, I didn’t really set out to write two Trump articles this week. I planned the Georgia article, but then as the week went on, there was some new Trump outrage every single day. This summary was getting swamped with them, so I moved them all to their own article.

and the Harris interview

Wednesday night, CNN aired a much-ballyhooed interview (transcript, video parts 1, 2, 3) where Dana Bash asked questions and Kamala Harris and Tim Walz answered them. The Democratic ticket survived the interview without blundering, but overall the interview just underlined the point I was making two weeks ago: Mainstream political journalism is broken. Answering their stupid questions does nothing to serve the cause of democracy.

Bash spent the interview asking Harris and Walz to respond to baseless accusations Trump and Vance keep making. Basically, she was playing the role of the trouble-making gossips I knew in junior high. (“Do you know what Marcy is saying about you?”) I find myself agreeing with Jeff Tiedrich (who elaborated in more colorful language than I’m going to use here):

“Tim Walz lied about IVF” is a right-wing talking point. “Kamala Harris isn’t really Black” is a right-wing talking point.

pestering Democratic candidates about right-wing talking points is not journalism. it’s being a Republican tool.

The exchange that sums up the interview is this one:

BASH: Speaking of Republicans, I want to ask you about your opponent, Donald Trump. … He suggested that you happened to turn Black recently for political purposes, questioning a core part of your identity.
HARRIS: Yeah.
BASH: Any—
HARRIS: Same old, tired playbook. Next question, please. (LAUGH)
BASH: That’s it?
HARRIS: That’s it.

Bash may have been surprised by Harris’ dismissal of her question, but did it deserve any lengthier answer? Like a junior-high gossip, wasn’t Bash angling for Harris to insult Trump in some way she could then carry back to him? (“Kamala Harris says you’re a racist. How do you respond to that?”)

Even the questions that sounded substantive really weren’t. For example, Bash started the interview with: “What would you do on Day 1?”

Day 1 is only interesting when there is a change in parties, because — unless the new president wants to be a dictator, as Trump has said he does — the only possible actions are executive orders that reverse the previous administration’s orders. So Biden’s Day 1 was significant because he

  • rejoined the Paris Climate Accords
  • reversed Trump’s Muslim ban
  • stopped construction on Trump’s border wall
  • reversed Trump’s moves to disengage from the World Health Organization.

Harris doesn’t have any similar night-and-day disagreements with Biden’s orders. Everything she has been talking about — restore the protections of Roe v Wade, safeguard voting rights, restore the child tax credit, build more affordable housing, subsidize first-time home buyers, shift some of the tax burden from the middle class to the very rich, pass the border bill Trump had his minions in Congress block, etc. — requires the cooperation of Congress, which isn’t going to get any of it done in one day.

Bash knows this, so why is she asking? To set up critical headlines, like Politico’s “Harris Dodged Questions About Her Day One Plans“. (Politico’s article went on to describe the dramatic actions five presidents took on Day 1. All five, of course, replaced presidents from the opposite party.)

How do maneuvers like this serve the voters, or democracy in general?


Asha Rangappa posts an interesting analysis of why Harris dismissed Bash’s turned-Black question, and how this tactic is driving Trump nuts.

Rangappa points to the Karpman Drama Triangle, which simplifies interpersonal conflicts down to three roles: persecutor, rescuer, and victim. From time to time Trump takes any of the roles, but his goal is always to wind up as the Victim, as in “I did everything right, and they indicted me.

By saying “Next question, please”, Harris is refusing to strike back at Trump and give him something to play the Victim over.


In contrast to their criticism of Harris for avoiding interviews, the media often gives Trump credit for responding to questions. But they never ask him anything hard, like: “What were you planning to do with the classified documents you were keeping at Mar-a-Lago? And why did you tell the government you had given them all back when you hadn’t?”

They don’t ask such questions because they know what the response (which doesn’t qualify as an “answer”) would be: “That’s a nasty question. You’re the fake media.”

Let’s be honest: When Trump faces real questions, he never answers them. To this day, he hasn’t given a coherent response to the charges in any of his four indictments. (Instead, he attacks the prosecutors, the judges, the FBI, the witnesses, the jurors, and the Biden administration. He makes sweeping denials like “I did nothing wrong.” But he never addresses the evidence against him.) He complains that the media doesn’t tell his side of the story, but that’s because he has never settled on a single story to tell.


In view of all the stuff Trump has gotten away with (so far), I have to laugh at the attempt to drum up some Lilliputian Harris scandal. This week’s attempt: She claims she worked at McDonalds, but never listed it on a resume. Does anybody applying for a job after law school list their fast-food summer jobs on their resumes?


The media often digs into the nuts-and-bolts inside-baseball of campaigning — fund-raising, polls, ads, strategies — but presents a very naive view of governing. They want a detailed picture of a candidate’s policy proposals, as if presidents were kings who could simply decree those proposals into law.

That’s how you get questions like Bash’s “The steps that you’re talking about now, why haven’t you done them already?” A bunch of those “steps” — codifying Roe v Wade protections, passing the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, passing the border bill, restoring the child tax credit — have gone to Congress and been blocked by the House Republican majority. Others, like shifting the tax burden from the middle class to the billionaires, stand no chance of getting Republican support.

Every administration’s policies are a compromise between the president’s vision and what can get through Congress. Implicit in all of Harris’ proposals is the assumption that Democrats will hold the Senate and regain the majority in the House.

During its first two years, when it had slim Democratic majorities, the Biden/Harris administration managed to get done an amazing number of things — far more than Trump — like funding infrastructure (which Trump kept promising but never accomplished), and beginning to transition away from a fossil-fuel economy that is leading to a climate-change apocalypse (a transition Trump wants to reverse with a drill-baby-drill policy, which somehow will make bacon cheaper). But no, they weren’t able to implement the full Democratic change agenda. During the last two years, they have artfully kept MAGA nihilists in the House and Republican partisans on the Supreme Court from undoing all that progress, but they haven’t managed to push further.

In this environment, ten-step plans are beside the point. Voters need to understand the sharp contrast in the underlying values of the two parties.

  • Women have rights vs. wombs belong to the state.
  • Save the planet for future generations vs. drill-baby-drill.
  • Stand up for democracy vs. give in to Putin.
  • Focus policy on the middle class vs. cut billionaires’ taxes and wait for prosperity to trickle down.
  • Support the rule of law vs. let presidents commit crimes and become autocrats.

How many details do you need to pick a side?

and the hostages

Six more Israeli hostages were found dead in Gaza over the weekend. According to AP:

Three of the six hostages found dead — including an Israeli-American — were reportedly scheduled to be released in the first phase of a cease-fire proposal discussed in July.

The deaths sparked massive protests in Israel yesterday, with protesters charging that the Netanyahu government is not doing enough to get the remaining hostages returned. The nation’s largest union has announced a nationwide general strike to begin this morning.

The Biden administration perpetually claims to be on the verge of getting a hostages-for-ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, but something always falls through at the last minute. Naturally, each side blames the other for not negotiating in good faith and not really wanting peace. It is difficult to criticize one side without seeming to endorse the other.

According to local authorities, more than 40,000 Palestinians have died as a result of the fighting in Gaza. It is never clear how many of them were Hamas warriors and how many were civilians in the wrong place at the wrong time.

and you also might be interested in …

I’ve been wondering for some while about the persistent charges that Democrats support “abortion after birth”. Since I’ve never seen a Democrat endorse the idea, or heard any examples of an after-birth abortions happening somewhere, I’ve assumed these are just lies.

But lies are usually based on something, even if reality has been grossly distorted by the time the claims get made. I think I’ve finally found the something in this case.

Back in 2022, California passed a law AB 2223, which protected women from prosecution after miscarriages.

The law came in response to the prosecution of two Kings County women who were criminally charged after having miscarriages. Though charges in both cases were dismissed, one woman spent 16 months in jail and the other spent nearly four years. The Kings County District Attorney has vowed to bring new charges in one case, according to CalMatters. According to Wicks’ office, at least 1,300 people have been criminally prosecuted for having miscarriages, stillbirths or self-managed abortions in the last 20 years.

AB 2223 and its author drew heavy criticism from the conservative anti-abortion movement, with some organizations, such as the California Family Council, alleging that the bill would effectively decriminalize infanticide. That is not true. The law does prevent pregnant people from being criminally charged in the event that an infant dies due to pregnancy-related causes. It does not decriminalize the killing of infants.

So if a miscarriage or self-managed abortion results in a baby who is alive but fatally damaged, the woman can’t be charged if the baby dies from that damage.

Other states have since passed similar laws, resulting in the after-birth abortion rhetoric.


I still haven’t got a handle on the feud between Elon Musk and Brazil’s supreme court. But this week it led to the court ordering Brazilian ISPs to block the Twitter/X platform.

The dispute stems from X’s usefulness as a tool for spreading dangerous disinformation, like bad health advice or incitement to political violence. Brazil demanded that X block certain disinformation-spreading accounts, which Musk called “censorship” and refused to do.

I’m sure many other countries are also worried about X and disinformation, so they are watching to see how this plays out.


Back in the 2000 campaign, Republicans would sum up Bush’s charm advantage over Gore by asking which candidate you’d rather have a beer with (ignoring the fact that Bush was a recovering alcoholic who couldn’t drink any more). In 2024, I propose a different test: Who would you rather go to the state fair with?

and let’s close with something that takes training

Throwing out the first pitch is a longtime baseball ceremony that is typically used to call attention to some local celebrity or community leader. Some honorees wilt under the pressure of being watched by thousands, and bounce the ball to the plate or toss it so wide of the mark that it can’t be caught.

But Wednesday, Shohei Ohtani’s dog Decoy delivered a memorable first pitch for a game between Ohtani’s Dodgers and the Baltimore Orioles. With Shohei behind the plate, Decoy squatted on the pitching rubber waiting for the sign, then picked up the baseball with his mouth and delivered it directly to his master, dropping it onto home.

Shohei also had a good game, hitting a home run and stealing two bases.

Estimation

Never underestimate a public school teacher.

– Tim Walz

This week’s featured post is “The Convention That Ate Republicans’ Lunch“.

This week everybody was talking about the Democratic Convention

The featured post focuses on how the DNC reclaimed Reagan-era values that Republicans have stopped taking seriously or have let drift away from American reality: freedom, family, marriage, tradition, masculinity, and what makes someone American.

I know I mentioned this in that post, but it deserves a second plug: One standard element of a political convention is the roll call of the states as the delegates announce their votes. The DNC did it a little differently from the RNC.

The DNC turned roll call into a dance party, with each state choosing music appropriate to itself, like Lynyrd Skynyrd’s “Sweet Home Alabama” or Illinois choosing Alan Parson’s “Sirius”, the walk-on music the Chicago Bulls use when they play in that same arena. My own state, Massachusetts, picked the Dropkick Murphy’s “I’m Shipping Up to Boston”. But Georgia stole the show by getting Atlanta’s Lil Jon to perform his own “Turn Down for What”.


One difference between the conventions the featured post didn’t cover: The RNC’s message centered on hero-worship: America is in terrible shape, but if we elect Donald Trump again, he will save us. The DNC was more of a pep rally for activists. Speaker after speaker urged the delegates (and by extension those watching at home) to “do something”: volunteer for the campaign, send money, make sure your friends are registered to vote. Kamala Harris will not save us by herself; her campaign is the vehicle through which We the People will save ourselves and each other.


I’ve never seen condoms used for political advertising before.


Major media fact-checking during the conventions was somewhere between comical and infuriating.

If you’re a person actually interested in the truth, the main thing you need to know about the Democratic Convention speakers is that they were far and away more truthful than the Republican speakers. Nothing at the DNC rivaled the big lies that form the scaffolding for MAGA policies: the “migrant crime wave“, or that illegal immigrants are voting, or that other countries are emptying their jails and insane asylums to send their unwanted people to the US.

None of that is even remotely close to being true.

But both-sides-ism decrees that fact-checkers had to flag Democrats for something. So when Tim Walz said that “IVF and fertility treatments” are “personal for Gwen and I”, USA Today had to point out that the Walzes’ daughter Hope resulted from a different fertility treatment than IVF, as if IVF hadn’t been the next option, and as if succeeding before reaching that point would give the Walzes less empathy with infertile couples who do need IVF. In short: Nothing Tim said was wrong or needed correction.

Or when Pete Buttigieg said that “crime was higher on [Trump’s] watch”, USA Today found it important to point out that not all crime rates were higher all the time. So the murder rate (which rose under Trump) continued rising for Biden’s first year before falling to a level below where it was at the end of Trump’s term.

And when Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker said “Donald told us to inject bleach” as a Covid treatment, that was “misleading“, because Trump only made that ridiculous suggestion as something scientists should waste their time investigating.

Bill Clinton said that since the end of the Cold War, 50 million American jobs have been created under Democratic administrations and only 1 million under Republican administrations. PBS rated that only “mostly true“, because even though what Clinton said was exactly right, 1989 was a particularly fortuitous time to measure from. Starting the clock running somewhere else might give less lop-sided results.

Summing up: While Republicans told big whopping lies that they can’t justify their policies without, Democrats sometimes failed to include all the footnotes a journal article would require.

It seems like a conscientious fact-checker would want to note that distinction. But AP’s headlines looked like this:


Good lines from the convention that I haven’t found another place for. D. L. Hughley:

Republicans for Kamala? I guess Donald Trump will finally know what it’s like when you get left for a younger woman.

Ted Lieu:

As a computer science major, I am so impressed by how large this AI-generated crowd looks tonight.

Hakeem Jeffries:

Donald Trump is like an old boyfriend who you broke up with, but he just won’t go away. Bro, we broke up with you for a reason.

Pete Buttigieg:

JD Vance said ‘if you don’t have kids you have no physical commitment to the future of this country.’ When I deployed to Afghanistan, I didn’t have kids then. Many of the men and women with me didn’t either. But let me tell you, our commitment to the future of this country was pretty damn physical.

Raphael Warnock:

We believe that a patient’s room is too small and cramped for space for a woman, her doctor, and the United States government. That’s too many people in the room.

and RFK Jr. endorsing Trump

Friday, Robert Kennedy Jr. announced that he was suspending his campaign and supporting Donald Trump.

No one should be surprised by this, because RFK Jr.’s campaign was a Trump operation from the start. The Kennedy name was supposed to divide the Democratic vote, which is why RFK Jr.’s campaign was funded by pro-Trump donors and pushed by pro-Trump media. But recent polls had begun to show Kennedy pulling more votes from Trump than from Harris, so it was time to pull the plug.

On paper, this looks to favor Trump, but it also ratifies Harris/Walz framing: Trump, Vance, and Kennedy are all weird, so of course they would wind up together.

I’ve seen lots of triumphal posting by Trumpists, claiming that this is a big development that nails down Trump’s election. But Nate Silver is unconvinced. His model has Harris up 4% with her convention bounce just starting to show up in the data. Her margin drops about 0.3% when Kennedy is taken out.

and the horse race

I’m not going to pay much attention this week, because if Kamala gets a bounce out of the convention, it won’t show up fully in the polls until at least next week. But generally, her slow and steady momentum has continued. 538’s polling average has her up by 3.4%, which is close to where she needs to be to overcome the Republican advantage built into the Electoral College.

But there is reason to expect a convention bounce. Here, a CNN reporter is stunned that 6 of the 8 undecided voters he talked to in November have decided for Harris. One has decided for Trump and one still isn’t planning to vote.

and you also might be interested in …

Maybe “Communist” and “Marxist” don’t mean what Trumpists think they mean.

and let’s close with something cold-blooded

OK, I’ve heard of support dogs, cats, and even monkeys. But a support gator? I’m picturing a bumper sticker: My support animal can eat your support animal.

Strong Leadership

Over the last several years there’s been this kind of perversion that has taken place, which is to suggest that the measure of the strength of a leader is based on who you beat down, when what we know is the real and true measure of the strength of a leader is based on who you lift up.

Kamala Harris

This week’s featured post is “Harris, Trump, and Our Broken News Media“.

This week everybody was talking about the Democratic Convention

The Democratic National Convention in Chicago has already started, if you count events that don’t usually get much coverage, like the delegate breakfasts. Main programming begins at 4 this afternoon, central daylight time. This livestream link begins at 5:30.

Politico has a good article about the convention, including the various ways you can watch it. The major networks are only committed to an hour of coverage 10-11 each night, but CSPAN and various streaming options should cover everything.

Tonight’s headliners are President Biden, who I expect to get a heartwarming reception from a party that appreciates what he has sacrificed for the greater good, and Hillary Clinton, who may finally see her dream of a female president realized this year. The Obamas will speak Tuesday. Wednesday’s lineup includes Tim Walz, Nancy Pelosi, Bill Clinton, and Pete Buttigieg, while Thursday belongs to Vice President Harris. Jason Carter at some point will appear on behalf of his grandfather Jimmy Carter, who is hoping to hang on long enough to vote for Harris in the general election.

This convention will contrast with the Republican Convention in a number of ways that I think will work in the Democrats’ favor. For one thing, the party is not running away from its past, and its nominee has the support of all its major stars. And while the RNC tended to be dour and dystopian, the DNC should be much lighter and joyful.

Also, the Democratic headliners are just better speakers. I expect that Walz on Wednesday and Harris on Thursday will each have a point and make it, in a speech that has a beginning, a middle, and an end. They should contrast well with Trump’s 90-minute ramble at the RNC, and whatever it was that J. D. Vance was doing.


The wild card in the week is how intense and disruptive pro-Palestinian protests will be.

and Ukraine’s invasion of Russia

On August 6, Ukraine flipped the script on Russia and sent its troops into Russian territory in the Kursk region, which is famous as the site of the largest tank battle in history. (The Russian victory over Germany at Stalingrad is considered the greatest single turning point in World War II, but Germany’s defeat on the Eastern Front didn’t become inevitable until after Kursk the next summer.)

It’s hard to know what this all means. A substantial fog of war prevents accurate reporting, but it’s clear that Russia was surprised and has not been able to repel Ukraine yet. The attack could turn out to be anything from a strategic masterstroke to a modern-day Gettysburg campaign that has early successes but ultimately hastens defeat.

In the meantime, it’s a substantial political embarrassment to Putin, whose image of strength is taking damage.

and Gaza

The dying continues in Gaza, and the Palestinian death count has now passed 40,000. The Biden administration continues to push for a ceasefire/hostage release deal, but it’s not clear that either side really wants peace.

and you also might be interested in …

It’s always hard to decide how much attention to pay to the latest Trump outrage. It’s important not to become desensitized to them, but they’ve been going on for nine years and haven’t ended his career yet.

This week he disrespected Medal of Honor winners, who are America’s greatest war heroes.

Trump on Thursday, when talking about giving GOP donor Miriam Adelson the Medal of Freedom, the nation’s top civilian honor, said it is “actually, much better” than the Medal of Honor “because everyone (who) gets the congressional medal of honor, that’s soldiers. They’re either in very bad shape because they’ve been hit so many times by bullets, or they’re dead.”

Trump’s former Chief of Staff, former General John Kelly, responded:

No president, member of Congress, judge or political appointee — and certainly no recipient of the Presidential Medal — will ever be asked to give life or limb to protect the Constitution. The two awards cannot be compared in any way. Not even close.

Trump’s remarks would be bad enough in the context of a Medal of Freedom winner who saved many lives through peaceful means, like vaccine developer Jonas Salk, or who risked life and limb in a non-military context, like first man on the Moon Neil Armstrong. But it’s obscene to say such a thing while giving the award to Miriam Adelson, who essentially bought the honor by (with her late husband) contributing hundreds of millions to Republican candidates, including Trump himself.


I discussed Trump’s Mar-a-Lago press conference in detail in the featured post, and barely mentioned his interview with Elon Musk. CNN did a fact check, for what that’s worth. But their discussion of climate change is worth paying attention to, because it so clueless. Bill McKibben dubbed this “the dumbest climate conversation of all time”.

Trump said the same stupid thing he’s said before, which is that rising sea levels aren’t worth worrying about because you just wind up with “more seafront property”. Not only is this wrongheaded, it’s just plain dumb, as McKibben points out:

a rising ocean clearly reduces the amount of oceanfront property. If Florida goes underwater there will be a new stretch of seafront along what’s now the Georgia border—but the amount of oceanfront will be greatly reduced.

But most of the truly idiotic comments come from Musk, while Trump just sits there and seems to agree. Musk is pushing electric cars not because he worries about the climate, but because he worries about running out of oil. Also, he pictures increased CO2 in the atmosphere not causing any real problems until it gets around 1000 ppm (from it’s current level of just over 400), because that would cause breathing problems.

McKibben comments:

There is not a serious climate scientist on planet earth who has ever contemplated a thousand parts per million with anything less than panic and horror. … What Musk’s math implies, of course, is that we have endless time to deal with this crisis. If 1,000 is the danger level, and we’re going up two parts per million per year, that does indeed “give us quite a bit of time.” Three hundred years, roughly. … This is the point of their conversation, at least when it comes to climate. It is to insist that nothing need be done now, that we should just go on expanding the fossil fuel industry.


Social media is trolling Musk: “Elon Musk, dead at 52, says there is no need for misinformation laws”.


Sexism is sexism, even if it comes from a woman. I am appalled that the WaPo published a Kathleen Parker column including this:

Without her beauty, Harris might be joining Biden in retirement. All you have to do is imagine her spoken words coming from a less-attractive package. Or put her on radio.

Hillary wasn’t attractive enough. Kamala is too attractive to take seriously. There’s no winning.


Tim Walz hasn’t forgotten how to speak to a football team. Decades ago, politicians of both parties made these kinds of speeches all the time to promote civic virtues in the rising generations. But it’s been a long time since I’ve heard one.


The DeSantis takeover of New College in Sarasota hasn’t resulted in book burnings, but a lot of gender diversity books that students might have wanted are winding up in the dumpster

and let’s close with some resemblances

James Lucas posts a thread on X that celebrates pareidolia, “our brain’s tendency to see familiar shapes in random patterns”, like the Waterfall of the Bride in Peru.

Denial

No Sift next week. The next batch of new articles will post on August 19.

I didn’t know she was Black until a number of years ago, when she happened to turn Black, and now she wants to be known as Black. So I don’t know, is she Indian or is she Black?

– Donald Trump

When prejudice cannot deny the black man’s ability, it denies his race.

– Frederick Douglass

This week’s featured posts are “Where Did Inflation Come From?” and “The Unfathomable Mystery of Biracial Americans“.

This week everybody was talking about getting prisoners out of Russia

Thursday, President Biden announced a multi-country swap of prisoners that brought home three Americans: WSJ reporter Evan Gershkovich, Paul Whelan, and Radio Free Europe journalist Alsu Kurmasheva. Whelan had been held the longest, since 2018.

The swap relied heavily on US allies. Germany, Slovenia, Estonia, Poland, Norway, and the Maldive Islands released prisoners Russia wanted back. In his announcement, Biden underlined the importance of having allies, a backhanded slap at Trump’s anti-NATO sentiments.


If Trumpers wonder why calling him “weird” is catching on, they should look at his first reaction to the prisoner swap, which he had said could not happen until he was reelected (apparently because he’s Putin’s pet).

So when are they going to release the details of the prisoner swap with Russia? How many people do we get versus them? Are we also paying them cash?

At some point, questioning the details of the swap is legitimate. But surely the first reaction of any non-weird American was to be happy for fellow Americans who are free now, and for the families who can welcome them home. Trump expressed none of this, but (without knowing any of the details) simply assumed the deal must be bad because it worked against his political interests. He doubled down during his Atlanta rally Saturday.

I would like to congratulate Vladimir Putin for having made yet another great deal.

Didn’t every American other than Trump feel at least a little joy in their hearts for their freed countrymen? That’s the kind of thing that makes him weird.


Of course there’s speculation about what this means politically in the US. Back in May, Trump posted that he would get Evan Gershkovich released “almost immediately after the election”, and that Putin “will do that for me, but not for anyone else”. Some people at the time interpreted this as Putin’s ransom demand: If you want to get Gershkovich back, elect Trump.

But after this week’s deal was announced, Slate’s Fred Kaplan speculated:

[L]ike most world leaders, Putin has no doubt been reading the polls, and he may have concluded that Trump is not going to win … Therefore, Putin might have reasoned, it’s better to take a deal now so it looks as if he’s acting without an eye to our election.

However, I wonder if there’s another angle: Maybe our allies were willing to sacrifice more for Biden, in order to make it less likely Trump will ever be restored to power.

and Trump’s interview with Black journalists

That’s the topic of one featured post. A few related things didn’t make it into that article.


John McWhorter’s analysis of why Trump mispronounces “Kamala” is interesting. He relates it to previous generations of American mainlanders calling the 50th state “Ha-WHY-a” and its capital “Honolula”, or misnaming foreign foods “raviola” and “guacamala”.

The Trumpian attitude toward Harris’s Indian name reanimates an old American trope. Instead of opening up to a foreign word and even exploring it a little, Trump is treating it as an alien presence in need of assimilation, telling it to conform to whatever he decides it should be.

This willfully blasé attitude toward the word’s pronunciation has the effect of othering it, and Harris by extension. A name with no set pronunciation is alien, exotic, unplaceable — and therefore not who we are. It’s a subtle dig that aims in the same direction as Trump’s false rumor that Barack Obama wasn’t American.


A subtle detail in a scene from the recent movie American Fiction sums up something important about race in America. The main character, Thelonius “Monk” Ellison, is a Black author who doesn’t want to be defined by his blackness. (He wants to write literature, not Black literature.)

Early in the movie, he is coming out of an airport while talking on the phone to his agent about his unwillingness to write the stereotypic “Black novel” the market wants from him. “You know,” he says, “I don’t even believe in race.”

“Unfortunately,” his agent replies, “other people do.” And as he says that, a cab drives past Monk to pick up a White man.

A question White conservatives ask constantly is “Why do Blacks (or Democrats or liberals) make everything about race?” That scene is the answer: Black people may try to forget about race, but the world will remind them.

and the rising Iran/Israel friction

I don’t claim to understand this, so I’ll point you to The Economist’s article.

and Venezuela

Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro allowed an election, appeared to lose it, and has announced victory. Now he’s cracking down on protesters and opposition politicians.

and J. D. Vance continues to embarrass Republicans

Outrageous things Vance has said continue to surface. In a 2021 interview on the Dear Ohio podcast of Spectrum News 1, while he was running in the Ohio Republican primary for the Senate seat he now holds, Vance was asked “Should a woman be forced to carry a child to term, after she has been a victim of incest or rape?” He replied:

I think the question betrays a certain presumption that’s wrong. It’s not whether a woman should be forced to bring a child to term, it’s whether a child should be allowed to live, even though the circumstances of that child’s birth are somehow inconvenient or a problem to the society. The question really, to me, is about the baby.

In other words, a woman should be forced to carry her rapist’s baby, but that’s an inconvenience. It’s not the important thing about the situation. Also, this requirement makes rape a viable reproductive strategy for men, but that’s not important either.

I noticed something in that interview that I haven’t seen mentioned elsewhere: Vance repeatedly uses the word normal in a way that I find creepy. The first question is why he wanted to run for the Senate, and Vance says

I think normal people in this country, people who want to live a good life, who just want to raise their families, they deserve somebody who fights for them.

Normal comes up several times throughout the interview, and it always refers to people like Vance himself. I find myself wondering what percentage of the country Vance considers normal.

Another clip that has resurfaced was his opinion of Simone Biles after she withdrew from the 2020 Olympics for mental health reasons.

What I find so weird about this, and it reflects on the media more than it does on Simone Biles, is that we’ve tried to turn a very tragic moment — Simone Biles quitting the Olympic team — into this act of heroism. And I think it reflects pretty poorly on our sort of therapeutic society that we try to praise people not for moments of strength, not for moments of heroism, but for their weakest moments


Peter Thiel is the tech billionaire who made Vance. The WaPo summarizes their relationship:

Thiel made him wealthy, setting him up to invest in companies that became popular with the MAGA set. He shepherded Vance’s entry into politics, bankrolling, alongside other Silicon Valley donors, his successful bid for the U.S. Senate in 2022.

An amazing clip is circulating on social media, in which Thiel compares present-day America to pre-Nazi Germany, but without any sense of alarm about it.

Liberalism is exhausted. One suspects that democracy, whatever that means, is exhausted. And we have to ask some questions very far outside the Overton Window.

Before passing that on, I felt obligated to search for the context. I found it here: an hour-and-a-half dialog with Tyler Cowen, who I don’t recognize. I haven’t looked at the whole thing, but the immediate context of the quote is a little better than it sounds. They’re discussing the German philosopher Carl Schmitt (who I also don’t recognize). He accurately predicted the fall of democracy in Germany, but “things went very haywire” (according the Thiel) when he got “somewhat entangled with the Nazis”. Thiel describes that entanglement as “bad judgment”.

So Thiel’s not openly espousing fascism in that quote, but I still can’t be comfortable electing the protege of someone who suspects democracy is exhausted. And my overall feeling is: God save us from billionaires who want to raise questions “very far outside the Overton Window”.

and the horse race

Who you think is ahead right now depends on which polling average you trust. They are all close, and they all show Harris gaining. RCP has Trump ahead 0.8% in a two-way race, down from 1.9% last week. In a five-way race (including RFK Jr., Jill Stein, and Cornell West), Harris is ahead by 0.2%. Nate Silver’s average has Harris up 1.4%; Trump was ahead by 0.4% a week ago. I could go on, but you get the idea.

Like everybody else, I’m wondering who Harris will pick as VP. But I don’t see much point in writing about it, because I’m sure the decision is already made and we’ll find out soon enough.


One striking thing about Donald Trump is that so many of the Trump administration veterans who know him best oppose his candidacy: Mike Pence, John Kelly, Jim Mattis, and many others.

The same observation extends to his family. His niece Mary has long been a critic, and recently her brother Fred has told negative stories about Donald in a book. Here, Mary defends Fred against an attack by their cousin Eric.

and you also might be interested in …

Being accused of being weird has gotten under MAGA skins in a way that fascist and racist never did. And yet they keep acting weird.

Normal Americans find inspiration in the Olympics, and cheer for the great athletes who represent us: Simone Biles, Katy Ledecky, LeBron James, and many others. But Trumpers have a weirder reason to pay attention to the Olympics: They need something to get outraged about.

Look at what has gone viral in MAGA-Land: Anger at female Algerian boxer Imane Khelif, who defeated her Italian opponent in 46 seconds. Khelif was identified as female at birth and has never professed to be anything else, but she was disqualified from the 2023 world championships after the amount of testosterone in her blood exceeded some limit. The Olympics has different standards, which she fulfilled. She does not physically stand out from other women boxers, and is not the favorite to win the gold medal in her weight category.

But to Trump and his minions, Khelif is “trans”. Trump posted a video of Khelif’s bout with the comment:

I WILL KEEP MEN OUT OF WOMEN’S SPORTS!

In his Atlanta rally Saturday night (where the crowd was noticeably smaller and less energetic than the one Harris drew to the same arena a few days before), he lied outright about Khelif.

It was a person that transitioned. He was a good male boxer.

If having more testosterone than the average woman makes you a man, then all those low-T men — you must have seen the TV commercials for supplements — are actually women.


More weirdness is the way that Trump cheers any bad news for America. Today, he’s glorying in the stock market plunge — even though the market is still much higher than when he left office. At the end of the day, check the value of your 401(k), and reflect on how happy Donald Trump is about your loss.


For reasons that defy explanation, Trump has been going after Georgia’s popular Republican Governor Brian Kemp, both on Truth Social and during his Atlanta rally Saturday night. But here’s the line that really slays me:

He should be seeking UNITY, not Retribution

Look back at my article on his convention speech, which was billed as a “unity” speech. The only unity Trump recognizes is submission to him.


It’s too soon to tell yet how big a deal the Trump/Egypt bribe story will be.

and let’s close with something tasty

I promise not to mix politics and the closing very often, but here’s something I want to pass on. In one of the featured posts, I linked to a video from Kamala Harris’ 2020 primary campaign where she made masala dosa with actress Mindy Kaling, who is also Indian-American.

It turns out that was a regular thing in her campaign, and not restricted to Indian people or Indian food: She’d go meet with supporters and cook something. “Cooking With Kamala” is a 7-video series on her YouTube channel. In this one, she visits the chair of her Iowa campaign and teaches her how to make apples with bacon. Kamala attributes the recipe to her mother, who must have picked it up after she came to America. (In the Mindy video, she says her grandmother was a strict vegetarian.)

Forward or Back?

Make America great again.

– Donald Trump

We are not going back.

– Kamala Harris

This week’s featured posts are “The Harris Surge” and “Couches, cat ladies, and J. D. Vance“.

This week everybody was talking about the Harris surge

That’s the subject of one featured post. Here’s something I left out of that piece: Fox News’ Brian Kilmeade criticizing Kamala for speaking to 6,000 members of the historically Black Zeta Phi Beta Sorority rather than attending Netanyahu’s speech to Congress.

She’d rather address, in the summer, a sorority — a colored sorority. Like she can’t get out of that.

This segment of Nicole Wallace’s show demonstrates what Harris candidacy means to Black people and especially Black women. Erin Haines describes Republican’s racist attacks on Harris as “a train that is never late”.

The segment replays part of a Harris interview:

So here’s the thing about breaking barriers. Breaking barriers does not mean that you start on one side of the barrier, and you end up on the other side. There’s a breaking involved. And when you break things you get cut. And you may bleed. And it is worth it every time.

Maya Wiley responds:

We have been cut. When she says that … we have lived that cut as students at Ivy League schools. We lived that cut when we were lawyers standing in front of a judge that said “Where’s the lawyer?”

And she calls out the sense of “victimization” Trump keeps appealing to:

People who are victimized by fairness. Who are victimized by competition from the competent. And who are upset because they have for so long gotten to be mediocre and rise.

The whole thing is worth watching.

and J. D. Vance

the subject of the other featured post. And I didn’t even get around to mentioning this weird conversation he had on a podcast in 2021. He claimed “a core part of what’s wrong with journalism in America” is that female reporters are panicking about their biological clocks running out. And then this:

they’re all fundamentally atheist or agnostic. They have no real value system.

Because to him the only values are Christian values. If you don’t have those values, you don’t have any values.

and Trump’s “You won’t have to vote any more”

A mistake journalists and pundits often make with Trump is to hear what he says and think: “He couldn’t possibly have meant that.” Then they search for some less threatening interpretation, and claim that’s what he must have really meant.

Well, this weekend I caught myself about to do the same thing. Friday, Trump spoke to Turning Point Action, a political group of right-wing “Christians” [About that: How much of the Sermon on the Mount would they reject as “woke”?] founded by Charlie Kirk. He said that Christians needed to get out and vote for him just this once.

You won’t have to do it anymore. Four more years, you know what? It’ll be fixed, it’ll be fine. You won’t have to vote anymore, my beautiful Christians.

That sure sounds like he’s confessing to exactly what his enemies charge: If he gets another term, democracy will be over in America. Nobody will have to vote any more.

But then I thought: No, he must not have meant that. He must be talking to Christians who usually ignore politics, telling them that they should make an exception this time. (Even that isn’t a very positive take: He’s pitching his message to people who think democracy is a burden; they should vote for him so they can slough off the chore of self-government.)

But he said what he said. He should have to explain it, not me.

As he so often does, Pete Buttigieg had the perfect response when he talked to Jen Psaki yesterday: “I don’t want to have to worry about what he means.”

Marcy Wheeler traces how the NYT covered this speech: Its initial headline was about Trump calling Harris “a bum”. Only after the won’t-have-to-vote clip caught fire on social media did the NYT mention it — in paragraph 14, with the explanation I suggested above.


As he so often does, Trump wants it both ways on his failed assassination: He wants to brag about “taking a bullet for democracy”, but he doesn’t want to provide any transparency about his injuries. (In recent appearances, his ear looks fine.)

Predictably, the NYT completely ignored the transparency issue and did its own analysis to back up Trump’s claim about the bullet. The FBI later said more-or-less the same thing, though they left open whether he was hit by a whole bullet or just a fragment of one.

This is the result of Trump successfully working the refs: He has complained so loud for so long about “the fake news media” that the NYT is too intimidated to apply the standards every other politician is subject to.

Appallingly, the Times’ editorial board then framed transparency as a both-sides issue, and called on Harris to make the first moves: “she needs to do more, and she needs to do it quickly”.


Trump won’t release the real ER report on his injury, so somebody made one up. It’s fake, but I love it.

and Elon Musk

Elon had a bad week. On Tuesday, Tesla announced that its second-quarter earnings dropped 45% compared to last year. It was bad news in two ways: the number of cars sold was down 4.8%, and profit on each car dropped as well, as the company had to cut prices on some models. Tesla, which the market treats as a growth stock, saw its shares drop from around $250 to $225. Musk owns over 700 million shares, so his net worth went down nearly $18 billion. The shares still sell at over 60 times earnings (more than double the market average), so there’s still a long way to fall if growth doesn’t resume.

Tesla has a number of problems, starting with increased competition in the electric-vehicle market, and including the Cybertruck, which is looking like an Edsel-level blunder. The company’s fantasy of self-driving robotaxis continues to recede into the future. But Musk himself has also become a drag on Tesla, as liberal electric-vehicle buyers are turned off by his increasingly fascist social-media presence.

Last month, Tesla shareholders approved a plan to grant Musk tens of billions of dollars worth of additional stock options, under the implied threat that he might take his future ideas elsewhere. If those ideas are anything like the Cybertruck, the company will be sorry it didn’t let him go.

Musk’s personal image took yet another hit this week, as his 20-year-old trans daughter responded publicly to comments he had made about her Monday in an interview on Jordan Peterson’s podcast. Musk told Peterson that his “son” was “dead”, “killed by the woke mind virus”, and that Musk himself had been “tricked” into approving gender-affirming treatments.

Thursday, Musk’s child, Vivian Jenna Wilson, gave an interview to NBC News.

I think he was under the assumption that I wasn’t going to say anything and I would just let this go unchallenged. Which I’m not going to do, because if you’re going to lie about me, like, blatantly to an audience of millions, I’m not just gonna let that slide.

Wilson, who had her name legally changed two years ago to disassociate herself from Musk, described him as “absent”, “cruel”, and “cold”. Looking at what he said, it’s hard to argue with her.

and you also might be interested in …

Last Sunday was the hottest day ever recorded on Earth. That record lasted until Monday. 2024 has consistently broken temperature-on-this-date records, and now that we’re getting into the hottest part of the year it’s breaking all-time records.


Librarians are my suspects …”. This is the world MAGA is building.


Jess Piper, who writes the blog “The View from Rural Missouri“, which I have linked to in the past, got swatted on Tuesday. One of her posts had drawn the ire of Libs of TikTok, which Wikipedia defines as “a handle for various far-right and anti-LGBT social-media accounts operated by Chaya Raichik”. A few days later (a correlation whose causality is impossible to prove), a deputy sheriff interrupted her gardening to inform her that the sheriff’s office, and several other law enforcement entities in the area, had received an email. The local water department had gotten a letter.

The email claimed to be from a close family relation. The letter stated that the family member had murdered me and my husband the night before. It went on to state that they intended to shoot and kill anyone who came on the property.

Needless to say, Jess was fine, and so was everyone else in her household. The point of a hoax like this is to provoke police to come into the situation with guns blazing, and maybe kill the unsuspecting target or her loved ones. Failing at that, the person being swatted should be terrorized, maybe so terrorized that she’ll stop doing, saying, or writing things that far-right or anti-LGBT people find offensive.

It might have worked, but for the fact that Jess really does live in rural Missouri, where local authorities know most of the long-term residents. So the deputy sheriff decided to drop in on his neighbor rather than call in a SWAT team.

It sounds like the terrorizing part of the plan didn’t work either.

In the end, this is the time in which we live. The internet has allowed me to find a following with like-minded people. It’s allowed me to organize across the state and remind people that folks like me exist in rural spaces. A whole lot of us live here and it’s getting out. We are contesting more rural seats and this will lead to more Democratic wins in my state.

But, with the good comes the bad. I have folks threaten me on a regular basis and now it has escalated to a swatting. But, I can’t bend to fear and I can’t stop the momentum we are building. So, I move on. We move on.

We lock arms. We do this together. I could not organize without support.

BTW: I notice Jess made an appearance across the river in Quincy, Illinois, my home town. She reports that Democrats in rural areas and small towns are just as energized as they are everywhere else.


Watch these clips of Don Jr. interviewing Vance and see what you think about those drug use rumors.


I just noticed Betsy McCaughey showing up as a panelist on CNN. Betsy is the well-known liar who is most famous for starting the death-panels hoax against the Affordable Care Act. Shame, CNN.

and let’s close with something big and loud

I can’t say elephants share my musical taste, but they’re clearly playing something.

Resolutions

Friends and Fellow-Citizens: The period for a new election of a citizen to administer the executive government of the United States being not far distant, and the time actually arrived when your thoughts must be employed in designating the person who is to be clothed with that important trust, it appears to me proper, especially as it may conduce to a more distinct expression of the public voice, that I should now apprise you of the resolution I have formed, to decline being considered among the number of those out of whom a choice is to be made.

– George Washington
The Farewell Address, 19 September, 1796

This week’s featured post is “The Two Kinds of Unity“.

This week everybody was talking about Joe Biden’s decision

Yesterday, Joe Biden announced that he is ending his candidacy, but will continue as president to the end of his term. He endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to take his place. He promises to make a formal address to the nation later this week. (He’s been in Delaware recovering from Covid. I suspect he wants to be more recovered and back in the White House before he makes the address.)

I have a million reactions, but let’s start with this: Can you imagine Donald Trump ever, under any circumstances, doing something that selfless? Despite the pressures brought to bear on him, if Biden had stood his ground, he would not have been denied the Democratic nomination. And despite all the recent pessimism, the fall election was still virtually a toss-up. Polling averages had Biden around 3% behind, which is not much at this stage, especially considering how late-deciding voters broke for the Democrats in 2022. So he is giving up a very real chance to continue as president for another four years.

But that scenario also includes a substantial risk of Trump being elected again, which would be a disaster for this country. So Biden is stepping aside. As historian Jon Meacham wrote in today’s NYT:

By surrendering the possibility of enduring in the seat of ultimate power, Mr. Biden has taught us a landmark lesson in patriotism, humility and wisdom.

Trump could never do that. He showed on January 6 that he would risk pulling the whole country down around him in order to stay in power.


Then we come to Kamala Harris. Biden has endorsed her, and so have a few key Democrats like Rep. James Clyburn. More importantly, none of the frequently mentioned competitors has stepped up to challenge her.

The media is spinning all kinds of theories about the process for choosing a nominee, and salivating over the prospect of the first contested convention in many years. But I refuse to speculate until some major candidate other than Harris steps forward. For weeks we’ve been comparing Biden to Somebody Else, and that kind of conversation needs to stop. If you can’t identify who Somebody Else is and point me to the place where they have announced their candidacy, I don’t want to hear it.

The Democratic Convention starts in Chicago on August 19. A “virtual vote” was supposed to happen sometime in early August, because of an Ohio deadline that could have kept the Democratic nominee off that state’s ballot. But Ohio has since changed its rules, so that’s not necessary any more. That vote, though, has neither been scheduled nor called off, so we’ll see what happens.


These are maddening times to watch the news networks, because we all want to know what’s going to happen, but nobody can tell us. So the airwaves are full of speculation that is mostly baseless. I advise ignoring it: Tune in occasionally to see if there’s any actual news, but turn the TV off as soon as the talking heads start speculating. You’ll be happier and saner.

Also ignore the polls for at least a week. Harris-as-candidate will poll differently from Harris-as-possibility. Maybe better, maybe worse. (I notice myself feeling more excited about her than I thought I would.) Wait and see.

A few speculations are worthwhile: anticipating attacks on Harris, as Judd Legum and Kat Abu do. Abu’s take is particularly interesting: She thinks the Right has wasted four years when it could have been assembling a supervillain image of Harris, a la Hillary Clinton. Instead, they’ve just painted her as ditzy, which definitely should make swing voters see her as the lesser-of-evils compared to Trump. They’ll undoubtedly try to paint a new supervillain image of her, but it won’t penetrate as well as it would have if it had been marinating for four years.

Dueling ads are already out: an attack ad against Harris blaming her for covering up Biden’s shortcomings, and a pro-Harris ad billing her as “the anti-Trump”. “She prosecuted sex predators. He is one.”


Josh Marshall:

Donald Trump and [Trump campaign adviser] Chris LaCivita are about to hit Kamala Harris with an avalanche of racist and sexist attacks and a ton of slut-shaming. Democrats across the board need to be saying now what we all know, which is that this will bring out the very worst of Trump. Racism and sexism are his brand. Charlottesville is his brand. You can’t just be on the receiving end of this stuff. Trump is about to show the kind of gutter white nationalist and racist pol he is. Force the press and all observers to see this totally predictable move through that prism. … Of course Trump will go there, and these attacks and those attacks can be very damaging. But Trump the racist bully and gangster is what kills him in the suburbs. It’s what embarrasses people.


One thing Biden’s decision does is put the too-old-to-be-president shoe on the other foot. Trump is 78, which means that in four years he’ll be older than Biden is now. Unlike Biden, he’s fat, out of shape, and eats a lot of junk food. Like Biden, his mental acuity is dubious. His proposed VP is 39 and has been a senator for a year and a half, during which he has accomplished essentially nothing. That VP, who very well could be president soon if Trump wins, has no other experience in public office.


I’m reposting a David Roberts quote from a few weeks ago:

So, say Biden stepped aside in favor of Harris tomorrow. How long until the vapid gossips we call political reporters find something wrong with her, some alleged flaw they just have to write 192 stories about? … About 30 f’ing seconds, is my guess.

The NYT in particular is worth watching. It has been running a dedicated campaign to push Biden out since … I don’t know, around March at the very latest. Will they be happy now? Will they finally start covering Trump’s inadequacies with the intensity they deserve? Or will they wait a week or so and then go after Harris just as hard as they went after Biden?

and the Republican Convention

The Republican Convention in Milwaukee just ended on Thursday, but it already seems like very old news. The featured post discusses Trump’s record-long acceptance speech, which was billed as a call for national unity. The media has been describing it as two speeches at war with each other: a unity call followed by Trump’s usual divisive rhetoric.

But I think they’re missing something: What Trump means by “unity” is that his opponents give up and submit to his domination. Once you understand that, the two halves of the speech fit together perfectly: He will be a president “for all America” as soon as all Americans shut up and get in line behind him.

Oh, and the speech was full of lies, as CNN’s fact-checker pointed out.


J. D. Vance’s acceptance speech centered on the kind of false populism he specializes in:

We’re done catering to Wall Street. We’ll commit to the working man.

But Trump contradicted that sentiment at his first post-convention rally in Grand Rapids:

I love Elon Musk. … We have to make life good for our smart people, and he’s as smart as you get. But Elon endorsed me the other day. And I read … [that] he gives me $45 million a month.

That’s how it works in TrumpWorld. He’ll be “committed to the working man” until that man’s boss writes him a check.


The Convention’s most vivid Party-of-Dumb moment came when Don Jr.’s girlfriend Kimberley Guilfoyle said:

It is no wonder that the heroes who stormed Normandy and faced down communism sadly say they don’t recognize our country any more.

All over America, US History teachers were covering their faces and shaking their heads. The heroes who stormed Normandy were fighting Nazis. The Communists were our allies in that war.

Guilfoyle’s historical rewrite got me wondering: Do Republicans even recognize any more that the Nazis were the bad guys? Present-day Nazis are MAGA now, so the idea that Americans could have been fighting them in World War II seems unthinkable. Near the end of Trump’s speech, he recalled glorious past battles from our history: “Yorktown, Gettysburg, and Midway”. Midway, a battle against the Japanese, not the Nazis. By itself, it’s a trivial thing, but the pattern seems worrisome.

and the Trump shooting

When I wrote last week’s blog, the shooting was still too new for there to be many reportable facts. There had been a shooting and Trump got hit, but he was OK. A few other people were wounded and one had died. The shooter, a 20-year-old White guy, was also dead. That was pretty much it.

Now we know a bit more: Trump was barely injured at all. His ear wound didn’t even require stitches. The ear bandages his cultists wore at the convention reminded me of the purple-heart band-aids Republican conventioneers wore in 2004, to minimize John Kerry’s war wounds. Then they were trying to make something serious look trivial; this time they wanted something trivial to look serious.

A lot of investigating has happened since last week, but nothing has come out that fits into a convenient narrative. The shooter was into guns, and had some vaguely conservative views, but wasn’t particularly active politically. The lack of obvious hostility towards Trump

has left authorities puzzled about a motive for his assault and has had investigators speculating that his intentions may have been less politically motivated and more about attacking the highest-profile target near him. … In addition to the former president, Crooks had searched online about President Joe Biden and had photos on his phone of other prominent figures from both parties. He searched for the location of Trump’s rally as well as the upcoming Democratic National Convention, the briefing notes say, and discovered that Trump planned to appear just an hour’s drive away from his home in the Pittsburgh suburbs. That suggests Crooks may have been looking to carry out a high-profile shooting, and the Trump event’s proximity and timing offered the most accessible opportunity, federal officials have speculated.

The New Yorker’s Jay Caspian Kang suggests that the shooting may have no real political effect, for precisely that reason:

When an act of violence doesn’t lend itself to a clear argument or a tidy story, we often choose not to think about it.

and J. D. Vance

To my surprise, I discover I have a public record when it comes to J. D. Vance: In 2016 I reviewed Hillbilly Elegy for UU World magazine as part of a batch of white-working-class books.

Vance and I are both from what I like to call the “transitional class” — people who grew up working class but got an education and are professional class now. (I became a mathematician while Vance became a lawyer.) Though we went different ways both politically and religiously, I thought Vance’s book was a credible account of how a transitional class person might become a social and religious conservative:

Realizing how close he came to having no one who cared about him, he values traditional notions of duty—holding a marriage together, taking responsibility for children—over individual fulfillment. His feelings about government come not from the military or the state university that helped him, but from the foster care system that he feared would take him from his grandmother and give him to strangers. When as a teenager he reconnected with his father, he found a man who had converted to conservative Christianity and established a new family blessedly free from drinking, daily screaming arguments, and violence. Vance’s adult religion, though conservative, seems to be less about theology or salvation than about the hope of establishing such islands of peace and sanity in an unstable world.

As for who Vance has become since, I turn to two men of his generation also from the center of the country: Pete Buttigieg and Trae Crowder. “I knew a lot of guys like J. D. Vance,” Pete says in his trademark blunt-but-not-nasty style.

When I got to Harvard I found a lot of people like him, who would say whatever they needed to to get ahead. And five years ago that seemed like being the anti-Trump Republican, so that’s what he was. … Five years later, the way he gets ahead is that [Trump]’s the greatest guy since sliced bread.

Pete compares Vance to Mike Pence, who similarly started out with one set of principles — Evangelical Christian moral rectitude — and then spent down his credibility making excuses for Trump’s immoral behavior. Pete notes how that ended “with Trump supporters proposing that he be hanged for using the one shred of integrity he still had to stand up to an attempt to overthrow the government”. Pete expresses his hope that things work out better for Vance “maybe not as a politician, but as a human being”.

As for why Silicon Valley billionaires support J. D. Vance (Peter Thiel is Vance’s biggest political donor) and Trump (Elon Musk is giving millions to Trump’s SuperPAC) in spite of otherwise being pro-science, anti-climate-change, pro-gay-rights, and libertarian rather than authoritarian, Pete says:

We’ve made it way too complicated. It’s actually super-simple. These are very rich men who have decided to back the Republican Party that tends to do good things for very rich men.


Trae Crowder, the “liberal redneck”, is even less generous, seeing Vance as someone who has sold out the people they both claim to represent. His rant is entertaining, and more fun to watch than to read.

and you also might be interested in …

A half-written article that keeps slipping from week to week as more urgent news erupts is “The Mythical Trump Economy”, about nostalgia for pre-Covid America, which fundamentally has nothing to do with Trump or his policies. In the meantime, look at the WaPo’s “Trump’s Economy vs. Biden’s in 17 Charts“.


I also still haven’t found time to read Judge Cannon’s dismissal of the stolen-documents charges against Trump, the most obviously open-and-shut case against him. Here’s the analysis on Law Dork:

It’s a weak-on-the-law ruling for which Chief Justice John Roberts deserves a not insignificant amount of blame — despite his name not appearing once in her 93-page opinion.

Roberts has led the Supreme Court into an era in which precedent can selectively be ignored, eviscerated, or overruled when it gets in the way of conservatives’ goals. That, in turn, has led lower court judges to feel that they have been given power to do the same — predicting, in essence, the precedents that they believe the current court would ignore.

This is not how the law is to work. And yet, one need only glance through Cannon’s decision to see that reality at work Monday in her effort to do Trump’s bidding.


Authoritarianism expert Ruth Ben-Ghait:

We know from studies of authoritarianism that the more despondent and despairing people are, the more they become dependent on the promises of a savior, someone who’s going to save the nation. They become prone to accepting conspiracy theories. They don’t know what’s true any more, so they need an anchor, and that anchor would be Trump. So be very wary when you hear these slogans designed to discredit democracy and designed to convince people that America is failing.

Aaron Rupar posts a clip of Trump praising authoritarian leaders, concluding with:

We have to have somebody to protect us. And Orban was right: We have to have somebody to protect us.


Amanda Marcotte:

We asked RNC attendees when America was last “great.” Regardless of age, most said when they were children. Says nothing about America, but lots about conservative psychology.

A Salon newsletter article fleshes this out:

As one commenter on Tik Tok aptly noted: “I’m amazed at the grown men who don’t understand that life was simpler when they were children because they were children.”

and let’s close with something fake

Sometimes you just can’t let the facts get in the way of a good story. When a flaw in a Crowdstrike security update crashed Microsoft systems around the world, somebody created a fake image of the Blue Screen of Death filling the Las Vegas Sphere. Snopes declared the rumor false.

Bickering

Yes. I know: Mr. Biden is old, is prone to gaffes, walks stiffly and had a disastrous debate with Mr. Trump. But this I also know: A presidential election is not an entertainment contest. It does not begin
or end with a 90-minute debate. Enough! Mr. Biden may not be the ideal candidate, but he will be the candidate and should be the candidate. And with an effective campaign that speaks to the needs of working families, he will not only defeat Mr. Trump but beat him badly. It’s time for Democrats to stop the bickering and nit-picking.

– Senator Bernie Sanders “Joe Biden for President

This week’s featured posts are “Just Don’t Do It“, about the temptation to commit political violence, and “Don’t Ignore the Republican Platform“.

This week everybody was talking about the Trump shooting

I assume you already know that somebody shot at Trump during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on Saturday. They hit his ear, but did him no lasting damage. The shooter was killed and so was one other person; two were critically injured. The shooter has been identified, and everybody is wondering how he established a position so close to the stage. Officials aren’t speculating about his motives yet, so I won’t either. Sometimes assassins have coherent political agendas, but sometimes what they do only makes sense in their own inner worlds. Wait and see.

There is a fairly standard statement that any responsible leader needs to make in this situation, and Joe Biden made it:

I have been briefed on the shooting at Donald Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania. I’m grateful to hear that he’s safe and doing well. I’m praying for him and his family and for all those who were at the rally, as we await further information. Jill and I are grateful to the Secret Service for getting him to safety. There’s no place for this kind of violence in America. We must unite as one nation to condemn it.

This sentiment has been echoed by Kamala Harris, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, and all sorts of other Democratic leaders — including Nancy Pelosi, who put aside the way Trump and Don Jr. responded when an attacker looking to take her hostage instead seriously injured her husband.

As one whose family has been the victim of political violence, I know firsthand that political violence of any kind has no place in our society. I thank God that former President Trump is safe. As we learn more details about this horrifying incident, let us pray that all those in attendance at the former President’s rally today are unharmed.

I’ve decided not to speculate about the shooter, his motives, or the possible effects on the presidential campaign. For the most part, I find myself agreeing with Jay Kuo, especially his expectation that Trump and his cult will “overplay their hand”. There’s already an attempt to cash in.

One possible result of the shooting is pressure on Democrats to tone down their attacks on Trump, which I would hate to see. I understand why President Biden said in his televised address:

The political rhetoric in this country has gotten very heated. It’s time to cool it down. And we all have a responsibility to do that.

But of course we know what will happen: Trump will continue his violent rhetoric, and the media will call Biden a hypocrite any time he criticizes Trump, no matter how justified that criticism is. Rick Perlstein posted:

A predictable effect of the Trump shooting that the Republicans have worked the refs by saying that this is what happens when you say their candidate means to end democracy. This plays to agenda-setting elite political journalists” cult of consensus–for their immediate response was to cluck about “politicized” responses, when the only politicized response were from Republicans (Democrats who went on the record also responded with consensus cliches).

Republicans thus are already succeeding in neutralizing the perceived legitimacy of Democrats continuing to make the true argument that the Republican candidate does mean to end democracy.

Nobody is addressing the elephant in the room, which is the temptation almost everybody feels to get violent, if only in fantasy. That’s what one featured post is about.

and Democrats were still arguing about Biden’s candidacy

Whatever you believed last week, this week proved you right. Biden kept a busy schedule, did a lot of the things his critics said he needed to do, and did them well but not perfectly. He hosted the NATO summit, held an hour-long press conference afterwards, and had enthusiastic rallies, including a fiery speech in Michigan in which he both went on offense against Trump and laid out his vision for a second term. Last night he addressed the nation about the Trump shooting. (This morning I can’t find any articles about what he said, so he must have done fine.)

If you support Biden, you noted that his press conference (on foreign policy, mostly) displayed a depth of understanding we have never seen in a Trump press conference. He not only answered the questions directly, with detail and nuance, but recognized the individual reporters and made reference to their fields of expertise. If you want him out of the race, you noted that he sometimes said one word when he meant another (“Vice President Trump“), spoke in his characteristic interrupting-himself style, and wasn’t particularly charismatic. It was all too little too late.

There are polls to support both points of view. 85% of Americans told an ABC poll that he’s too old to be president and 65% want him to step aside. But the same poll found showed Biden within 1% of Trump, and a Marist poll has Biden up by 2%, belying the often-repeated claim that Biden “can’t win”, or that he needs some drastically different strategy that he still hasn’t announced. 538’s prediction model (which includes “fundamental” factors I don’t fully understand in addition to polling) has Biden as a slight favorite.

Prominent Democrats continued to pick sides. AOC and Bernie Sanders are all in for Biden, but the number of congressional Democrats expressing doubts about his candidacy (or even outright calling for him to quit the race) is over a dozen now. Nancy Pelosi made an enigmatic statement about supporting whatever decision Biden makes, as if his announced resolve to stay in the race wasn’t his final answer.


Whichever side of this argument you’re on, you’re probably annoyed that Trump doesn’t get similar scrutiny. He never holds unscripted press conferences, only does interviews with friendly journalists who won’t fact-check him or ask difficult follow-ups, hasn’t released his medical records, and makes constant verbal blunders that the media calls no attention to. His bizarre rambling at public rallies is covered as Trump-being-Trump rather than medically significant symptoms.

If Trump did hold the kind of press conference Biden held Thursday, we know what we’d see, because we saw it so many times when he was president: Before long a reporter would ask him about something he didn’t know, and he would respond with a word salad containing numerous falsehoods. Any follow-up question would trigger Trump to call the reporter “a disgrace” working for “the fake news media”. Headlines and sound bytes from the conference would be all about Trump sparring with reporters rather than anything we learned from his answers.


More and more I feel like the media is covering itself rather than external events. Thursday, NYT analyst Peter Baker sort-of covered Biden’s NATO press conference, but never actually got to the content of Biden’s words, focusing instead on “every momentary flub, every verbal miscue” which “even if quickly corrected, now takes on outsize importance” because

The reality is that every public appearance between now and November will be scrutinized for evidence of infirmity.

Scrutinized by who? Well, by Peter Baker, for one. He’s not reporting on events, he’s announcing his intentions.

Similarly, I can’t count all the headlines that have described Biden as “defiant” when he says he won’t drop out of the race. But who is he defying, exactly? Mostly the very same pundits who now tag him as “defiant”.


The NYT (where else?) provides Daniel Schlozman a platform to explain how the Democratic Convention can do whatever it wants, independent of what happened in the primaries. He notes that the Biden delegates are “pledged, not bound“.

I realize that in the shadow of Project 2025, the long-term consequences of a bad precedent may seem small. But this kind of hair-splitting can’t help but devalue the primaries going forward. Progressives should consider how this could come back to bite them.

Imagine that in 2028 or 2032, AOC pulls off some early primary upsets, gets momentum, and by summer is headed to the convention with a majority of delegates pledged-but-not-bound to support her. Unfortunately, polls show her losing to some MAGA successor like J.D. Vance or Marjorie Taylor Greene, who has been making hay by tarring AOC with the “socialist” and “radical Marxist” labels. Meanwhile, some Democratic centrist who didn’t even run in the primaries — let’s say Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, who the Republicans haven’t bothered to smear yet — has better numbers. The Biden 2024 precedent would open the possibility of pushing AOC out, in spite of what the primary voters wanted.


In my opinion, the dumbest idea around is to remove Biden via the 25th Amendment, as was proposed in The New Yorker by Jeannie Suk Gersen. Of course she’d prefer that Biden resign voluntarily — not just step down as nominee, but leave the presidency immediately.

But if Biden resists either an outright resignation or a break for the rest of his term under the Twenty-fifth Amendment, then it would be time to look to Section Four of the Amendment, which covers removing the President involuntarily. The Vice-President and a majority of the Cabinet can declare that Biden “is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office,” whereupon Harris would become the acting President.

Aside from the objection that this will never happen, there are two very good reasons why it shouldn’t. First, the 25th Amendment isn’t about the president polling badly, or worries about his abilities four years from now. It requires the VP and the cabinet to affirm that right now Biden is “unable to discharge the duties of his office”. The example that everybody was talking about when the amendment was passed in 1967 was Woodrow Wilson’s stroke, after which his wife Edith secretly ran the country.

Is there any evidence that Biden is incapacitated in the way the Amendment envisions? We just saw Biden host a NATO summit, which seemed to all outward appearances to go well; the alliance is united and taking decisive action to aid Ukraine. Inflation was actually negative in June. The economy continues to create jobs, and even as the unemployment rate ticks upwards to 4.1%, it remains remarkably low for this point in the interest-rate cycle. The stock market is at an all-time high. Biden has successfully negotiated with an insane Republican majority in the House, and has managed to keep the government open without giving up the gains he made (bipartisan infrastructure, the anti-climate-change provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act …) when he had a Democratic House majority.

So independent of any policy disagreement (on issues like the border, say, if you’re conservative, or Gaza if you’re liberal) where’s the evidence that the US is being mismanaged because Biden is unable to discharge his duties? You and I were never appointed to any office by Biden and owe him nothing, but could you sign a declaration to Congress affirming that he’s incapable at this very moment? I couldn’t. Using the 25th Amendment this way would set a terrible precedent.

But there’s an even more serious problem, which is that once Harris is sworn in, there’s no VP. So if anything happens to Harris Mike Johnson becomes president.

I know, I know: the Amendment makes provision for that:

Whenever there is a vacancy in the office of the Vice President, the President shall nominate a Vice President who shall take office upon confirmation by a majority vote of both Houses of Congress.

So Harris can nominate Gavin Newsom or Beshear or some other White guy who could maintain the ticket’s racial and gender balance. But then we’re back to that insane Republican House majority, which would love to see Mike Johnson become president. Even if a handful of Republicans were willing to cross party lines, what if Johnson just adjourned the House without voting on the VP nomination?

So in the meantime, and probably until January, Johnson is next in line to be president. It would be an open invitation for some Christian nationalist nutjob to kill Harris. And if you think things like that don’t happen any more, take a look at Donald Trump’s ear.

and the Republican convention

It started yesterday in Milwaukee. I try to avoid speculation on this blog, but I’ve been expecting for months that this convention isn’t going to help them. Most of the country discounts what a freak show the MAGA Republican Party has become, and I expect the Marjorie Taylor Greenes and Matt Gaetzes to be out in such force that the country can’t ignore them. Most Americans haven’t watched a complete Trump speech in four years, and I expect them to be surprised.

See the point made above about Trump overplaying his post-assassination-attempt hand.

Pundits are settling on J. D. Vance as Trump’s VP, which fits the model I laid out some while ago. Trump’s VP has to have

  • no moral code, so that his conscience won’t keep him from doing whatever Trump asks (like Mike Pence’s did)
  • no independent following, so that he never outshines Trump (as Marjorie Taylor Greene might among the true MAGA faithful)
  • no prominence prior to Trump, so that he owes Trump everything (which eliminates Marco Rubio).

but I’ve been re-reading a book

Three of them, actually: Neal Stephenson’s Baroque Cycle, which is practically a time-trip to the late 1600s and early 1700s. Why is that worth mentioning here? Among many other things, Stephenson draws a strikingly simple line that divides Whigs from Tories: Tories believe that wealth comes from land, and Whigs believe that wealth comes from commerce.

Once you understand that, you see that generations later it was also the difference between two seminal American founders — Jefferson and Hamilton. In Jefferson’s ideal country, every family owned its own small farm. If you look at things that way, merchants and bankers — Hamilton’s people — seem like parasites.

The Hamilton/Jefferson argument is still with us, though you have to look at everything sideways to see it: If you think wealth comes from land (and the modern assets comparable to land, like brands, intellectual property or anything else you might charge rents or royalties for), government has no natural role in the economy. (It can’t create land, after all.) But if you think wealth comes from commerce, government can increase national wealth by building up the infrastructure of commerce: transportation systems, communication systems, education systems, and so on.

So if you dimly remember something in your high school US History class about Andrew Jackson fighting the Bank of the United States, that’s what it was about: Does a reliable banking system play a role in generating wealth, or does it just suck money away from the common people? And if you run into somebody who thinks government can only “redistribute” wealth that it has no role in producing, channeling it from “makers” to “takers”, you’re hearing the latest round in an argument that is more than 300 years old.

and you also might be interested in …

This morning, Judge Cannon dismissed the classified documents case against President Trump, the most open-and-shut of the cases against him. She wrote a 93-page opinion, which I haven’t looked at yet. Marcy Wheeler is reading it, and the Lawfare blog will have a podcast on it this afternoon.

Based on nothing but intuition, I think this is a good thing, because it opens the possibility that her decision will get reversed and the case can be assigned to a judge who isn’t in Trump’s pocket.



When the Supreme Court’s Loper decision came down two weeks ago, redefining the relationship between federal agencies and the courts, it was a little hard to describe what exactly it would mean in people’s lives. Fortunately, the Public Notice blog has an article listing the cases that are already being affected.

Taken together, it’s evident that any moves the administration makes to tilt the playing field even slightly in favor of workers are designed to fail once they reach a conservative federal judge. And thanks to right-wing judge shopping, plaintiffs are often able to get their case in front of an anti-regulation judge they know will be favorable to their challenges.


Friday, Maine Senator Susan Collins told reporters she won’t vote for Donald Trump.

Now imagine what a media storm there would be if Maine’s other senator, Angus King, announced that he wouldn’t vote for Biden. The event and the hypothetical event sound nearly the same, but clearly I’m missing something.


Rudy Giuliani’s attempt to use bankruptcy to get out of his $150 million defamation judgment isn’t going to work. Citing his lack of “financial transparency”, a New York judge dismissed his bankruptcy case. Next stop: asset seizure.


Scientists announced a breakthrough in research on pancreatic cancer, which has the lowest survival rate of any common cancer.

and let’s close with something visual

I love photo contests, and BigPicture has a great one. The photo below is called “Ghosts of the North”, and I was sure it must violate the rules by superimposing one image on another. But in fact it just has a long time exposure. The wolf was there long enough to register, but not long enough to look solid.

Settled Understandings

If my colleagues on this side of the chamber actually think that President Trump committed a criminal offense, and let’s understand, a high crime is a felony, and a misdemeanor is a misdemeanor. The words haven’t changed that much over time. After he’s out of office, you go and arrest him.

– Bruce Castor, lawyer defending Donald Trump against impeachment
Opening Statement, February 9, 2021

In sum, the majority today endorses an expansive vision of Presidential immunity that was never recognized by the Founders, any sitting President, the Executive Branch, or even President Trump’s lawyers, until now. Settled understandings of the Constitution are of little use to the majority in this case, and so it ignores them.

– Justice Sonya Sotomayor,
dissent in Trump v United States

This week’s featured posts are “The Immunity Decision: End of the Republic or No Big Deal?” and “The Biden Situation“. In this morning’s teaser, I promised a third article about the media meltdown over Biden, but much of that material made it into the other Biden article and the rest is below.

I also want to compliment everybody involved in last week’s comments, particularly the discussion of Biden’s candidacy in response to “They Both Lost. What Now?” Commenters disagreed a lot, both with me and with each other, but by and large the discussion stayed civil. We’re all trying to save the Republic from autocracy; we just disagree on the best way to do it.

This week everybody should have been talking about the immunity decision

I cover this in the first featured post. Summary: It’s not the end of the Republic yet, but could be a significant step in that direction. The fact that the law will no longer constrain presidents just underlines the importance of electing presidents we can trust not to abuse their power.

but we actually talked constantly about Biden’s health and candidacy

The substance of what I think about Biden and his candidacy is in the second featured post: He is doing a good job and I still believe he can keep doing it. But settling down the media storm that has blown up requires political skills I don’t think he has. So I am open to choosing a new candidate, but skeptical that this move will solve the problem.

Late in that post, I discuss just how out of control the mainstream media has gotten. I was originally planning to write a whole article on that, but managed to cover most of what I wanted to say in the article mentioned above. Here’s the stuff that didn’t make it into that article:

One day this week, I fired up my iPad’s NYT app and noticed that the first six articles on the screen all had something to do with getting Biden out of the race. (Aaron Rupar noticed the same phenomenon.) All week, I kept checking CNN to see how they were covering the immunity decision, but I could never time it right: They were constantly talking about Biden’s fitness for office and whether his support was eroding. In one segment I watched, Host Jim Sciutto raised those issues with CNN commentator Van Jones, pro-Biden Republican Adam Kinzinger, and Democrats Howard Dean and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz. Whenever any of the four expressed support for Biden, Sciutto argued with them. No pro-Biden point could go unchallenged.

There’s an agenda here, and it’s not subtle.

This kind of sustained assault doesn’t happen to Republicans. Republican scandals and pseudo-scandals last for a day or two and then go away. Donald Trump is still a convicted felon who tried to stay in power through force and fraud after he lost the election. Clarence Thomas is still blatantly corrupt. How often do those facts come up? Republican officials can appear on CNN without being asked about them.

But if you raise those comparisons, big-media journalists will protest, “We can’t keep asking people the same questions over and over again.” The Biden example, however, proves that they can. They’re doing it right now. They just can’t do it to Republicans.

Here’s Jemele Hill‘s take:

The Republican Party in general is graded on a curve, but Trump especially. They’ve normalized his buffoonish bigotry. If you watched American news coverage, you would have no idea that Trump often threatens violence, promises to weaponize the DOJ against his “enemies,” is a felon, has been found liable for rape, tried to overturn an election, and incited an insurrection, among other things. If Biden is replaced, all of the coverage will be centered on the dysfunction of the Democratic Party.

AngryStaffer brings back some 2016 memories I had forgotten. We all remember how the NYT and other media blew Hillary’s emails into some big scandal. But do you remember when Hillary’s health was also supposed to be a big problem, one that should push her out of the race? Of course, it’s eight years later now and Hillary is doing fine.

In the featured post, I raise the possibility that replacing Biden will just move the attack to the new candidate. One reason to think so is the essay the NYT published on (of all days) July 4: “Why I Don’t Vote and Maybe You Shouldn’t Either“. If you click the link, you’ll see a toned down headline “Why I Won’t Vote”. There’s a reason for that. @capitolhunters did a deep dive into the author, one Matthew Walther, whose hairstyle and moustache looks more like Hitler than can be a coincidence.

After a big public outrage about an article denigrating voting on July 4, the Times shortened the title to “Why I Don’t Vote”. But then it turned out that records show Walther did vote in 2020 and 2022, so it got changed again to “Why I Won’t Vote”.

But anyway, what’s the editor’s motive in running this dishonest piece? Isn’t it to suppress the youth vote, which any Democrat (Biden or not) will need in November?

and the Fourth of July

When I talk to people these days, I often hear the fantasy of going into a Rip Van Winkle sleep and not waking up until after the election. This week in particular my social media feed included a lot of mournful posts revolving around the theme of this being the last real Fourth of July, the last honest holiday of American freedom and democracy.

I don’t necessarily believe that, but it’s a possibility, and I understand why people are taking it seriously. But let me pass on some wisdom I picked up many years ago when I thought my wife was going to die. (She didn’t.) If you’re afraid you’re about to lose something, appreciate it now.

So if we’re really seeing the last gasp of American democracy, don’t waste this time moping or wishing you were asleep. If you’re worried that these might be the last days of freedom, don’t miss them. Get out there and be free. Whatever “freedom” means to you personally, whatever activities you find meaningful that some authoritarian might try to stop you from doing, go do those things. Do them exuberantly and with joy.

and the France and UK elections

Counter to what this cartoonist (and a lot of other people) expected, the big winner in France’s parliamentary election was the Left, not the Right. The right-wing National Rally (RN) party was leading in the first round of the elections, but ended up finishing third in the final round.

If that sounds confusing, here’s how the rounds work:

The first round eliminates all candidates who fail to win the support of 12.5% of locally registered voters. Anyone who scores more than 50% of the vote with a turnout of at least a quarter of the local electorate wins automatically. The second round is a series of run-offs fought either by two, three or sometimes four candidates.

RN came out of the first round with 33% of the vote, compared to the left-wing New Popular Front’s 28% and 20% for President Macron’s centrist bloc. After that result, RN was expected to be the largest party in Parliament, if not winning an actual majority of seats. But instead:

The surprise result for the leftwing New Popular Front – which won 182 seats, followed by president Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Together alliance on 163 and the far right in third with 143 seats – showed the strength of tactical voting against Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN). The far right and its allies had forged a commanding lead in the first round but were ultimately held back by massive tactical voting to prevent them winning enough seats to form a government. …

More than 200 candidates from the left and centre had pulled out of the second round last week in order to avoid splitting the vote against the RN. Those parties had called on voters to choose any candidate against the RN, in an attempt to prevent the far right winning an absolute majority and forming a government.

No party wound up with a majority, so forming a government could take some time. New Popular Front is already a cumbersome union of leftist parties, so holding them together and adding support from centrists might be tricky.


Meanwhile in the UK, the Tories are out of power for the first time since 2010. Labour won in a landslide and Keir Starmer will be the new prime minister. At least two factors are at work here: the general unpopularity of anybody who was in power during Covid (which hits both Biden and Trump here), plus the Britain-specific factor that Brexit has turned into a nightmare.

and you also might be interested in …

You can tell something is losing popularity when Trump denies knowing anything about it. This week, he tried to distance himself from Project 2025, the plan produced by a consortium of conservative organizations to guide his second term.

Michael Steele points out the obvious:

Ok, let’s all play with Stupid for minute…so exactly how do you “disagree” with something you “know nothing about” or “have no idea” who is behind, saying or doing the thing you disagree with?

Here’s why Project 2025 matters: Trump is not a detail guy. We saw that in his first term. He said he wanted a tax cut, but he knows bupkis about taxes, other than how to avoid them. So Paul Ryan had to write his plan. He said he wanted a “beautiful” health care plan to replace ObamaCare, but he knows nothing about healthcare either, so the Republican Congress ended up just barely failing to repeal ObamaCare without any replacement plan.

He hasn’t changed or learned much of anything, so if he’s going to have any policies during a second term, somebody else is going to have to create them. That’s Project 2025.


Florida’s law allowing “volunteer chaplains” from outside organizations to provide counseling services in public schools took effect this week, and the Satanic Temple announced that it was ready to participate in any district that started such a program. So far none have. The Guardian article says this about the church’s beliefs:

The Satanic Temple champions Satan not as a literal, omnipresent demon, but as a symbol of rebellion and resistance to authoritarianism.

I may not be all that in touch with today’s high school students, but in my day “rebellion and resistance to authoritarianism” was the de facto religion of a large majority.


If you’re not from corn country (I am, originally) you might not find the length of this article worth your time, but Chris Jones’ Iowa-based blog The Swine Republic has an insightful essay “Mr. Peabody’s Corn Train” comparing Iowa’s infatuation with corn-based ethanol to West Virginia’s infatuation with coal. The West Virginia situation is further along, so it’s more obvious what a bad decision the state made tying itself to a doomed energy industry. [Footnote for people younger than me: The title derives from an old song lyric. It’s quite evocative if you catch the reference.]


So “dozens” of Nazis marched in Nashville Saturday.

Dozens of self-proclaimed white nationalists marched through downtown Nashville on Saturday. They wore matching uniforms, with ski masks and sunglasses to obscure their faces, and carried Confederate and upside-down American flags. Witnesses say they chanted the Nazi “Seig Heil” salute and called for mass deportations of nonwhite people.

[OK, it’s actually “Sieg Heil”, but don’t ask how I know that.] You might expect “Should I denounce Nazis?” to be one of the easiest questions in politics. But if you’re a Tennessee Republican it seems to require considerable thought.

As of Sunday morning, Gov. Bill Lee had not released a statement. U.S. Senators Bill Hagerty and Marsha Blackburn, as well as Nashville’s three congressmen, have also remained silent.

Nashville itself is Democratic, but due to gerrymandering all three of its representatives are Republicans. The only Democrat Tennessee sends to Congress is Steve Cohen from the Memphis area.

and let’s close with something timeworn

Kueez collects a bunch of photos showing the long-term effects of small but persistent processes. Cat scratches can completely destroy a banister eventually. If people play an organ for over a century, their fingers wear dips into the keys. And here, a family photo kept inside the cover of this watch eventually imprinted on the metal.